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Statistical reports do not add up


A truck transports foodstuffs.
A truck transports foodstuffs.

According to ONEI, the production of prepared food and vegetables was 3.5 million tons in 2013. However, another report from the same organization shows that the number of prepared food and vegetables sold directly to the population was only 700,000 tons.

The result of production from the agricultural sector for 2013 was less milk, prepared food, potatoes, bananas, and citric fruits for Cubans, among the lack of other goods. The information appears in a the report titled “Agricultural Sector, Selected Indicators,” which includes information from January to December of last year, and was published by the National Office of Statistics and Information (known as ONEI, its acronym in Spanish).

For the first time, the ONEI published the “Sale of Agricultural Products, Selected Indicators from 2013,” which shows the results of the physical sale and the price value of products made through the state agricultural markets, non-agricultural cooperatives, outlets, retail locations, and the “carretilleros,” or street vendors.

The publication of both reports allows for a simple comparison that calls for future investigations and questions about the data given by the governmental site.

According to ONEI, the production of prepared food and vegetables was 3.5 million in 2013. However, another report from the same organization shows that the number of prepared food and vegetables sold directly to the population was only 700,000 tons.
The difference between what was produced to what was sold to the people is 2.8 million tons. It seems exaggerated to consider the idea that this amount of food was consumed in public institutions, schools, hospitals, military bases, restaurants, and other dining establishments.

In any case, the agricultural production results from 2013 do not look favorable in light of the expectations generated by the so called economic model sponsored by Raúl Castro. The breach in production follows the same patterns from those of half a century ago.

Food production amounted to 67,200 tons less than in 2012.

Potato production dropped by 14 percent, while the production of other tuber crops decreased by 37.2 percent.

Banana production went down by 25.6 percent compared to 2012, which means 181,700 tons less.

Citric fruits decreased by 18.8 percent, for a total of 34,400 tons less.

The production of cow milk was 12.7 million liters less than 2012.

The direct delivery of milk to the population was 17 million liters less, compared to 2012, and the industry received 7.8 million liters less than in 2012.

According to ONEI, the price value from direct sales of agricultural products to the population through different forms of commercialization was $2.8 billion. The sale reached 700 million tons of agricultural goods and 7,900 tons of meats, mostly pork.

The report from ONEI shows that state markets sell the most agricultural and meat product, but it emphasizes that the retail markets and the “carretilleros” or street vendors, play an important role in the direct selling of goods to the population. This is different from what happened in earlier years with the street vendors and the point of distribution markets.

Here is the price value of the sales for the different markets in 2013 (in dollars):

State markets: 1.3 million
Demand and supply markets: 469 million
Agricultural markets: 40 million
Retail locations: 573 million
Street vendors “carretilleros”: 391 million

“In the specific case of the numbers related with the street vendors, the organization used an annual survey given to those who are self-employed. This survey offers a lot of information about satisfaction and income,” Ileana Feliciano, director of ONEI, said to Granma.
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    Pablo Alfonso

    In 1971, Pablo was sentenced to 20 years in prison for participating in an opposition movement against Fidel Castro's regime. Pardoned in 1979, he traveled to Miami, where he still resides. He is the author of the blog The Timbeke (in Spanish). Follow him on Twitter: @palfoco.
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